This article asks whether increasing corn prices has a higher detrimental effect on the environment than steady prices, specifically if the increase in corn production harms the Gulf of Mexico. They compared the increase in prices with increases in production of corn in Kansas (using satellite images and GIS), and also with the changes of crop rotation from corn to soy to strictly growing corn. They found higher amounts of fertilizers are necessary when growing strictly corn, and this increase in nitrogen triggered an increase in the concentrations of nitrogen in runoff into the Mississippi. This increase in nitrogen subsequently caused an expansion of the hypoxic zone in the Gulf of Mexico by an average of 30 square Miles. The data needed were acts and events, they needed to know the average increase in prices of corn, the average increases of corn production, the average increases in nitrogen runoff, and the average increase in the hypoxic area of the Gulf of Mexico. They gathered the data in literature reviews, and direct observations in collection of runoff, and analysis the spatial variation in satellite images from the Department of Agriculture. They used comparative analytics, T-Tests and ANOVA tests, to determine the correlation with the increases in prices and the in increase in the hypoxic zone using the data collected as variables. Overall I think it was interesting research, but even the authors stated there was considerable uncertainty in the estimates. They only looked at Kansas, while ignoring other states along the Mississippi. It was too simplified to contribute any real changes in price of corn to the changes in the Gulf. I did however find the use of Satellite Imagery effective, and if they were to include other crops further south of Kansas it may have been far more accurate in the study’s results.
Hendricks, Nathan P., et al. “The Environmental Effects of Crop Price Increases: Nitrogen Losses in the U.S. Corn Belt.” Journal of Environmental Economics & Management, vol. 68, no. 3, Nov. 2014, pp. 507-526. EBSCOhost, doi:10.1016/j.jeem.2014.09.002.